If INFLATION and RECESSION fears begin to subside what are some safe plays

I am going to suggest a couple ETFs to watch that have benefited heavily from recession and inflation talk! And some that have been beaten over the head with an ugly stick to where they are now.

The ones that have benefited could see broad pull backs materialize and the ones that have suffered could rally.

Benefited list: ITM Puts 3-6 months out
Suffered list: ITM Calls 3-6 months out

Not trying to get rich here just trying to make small macroeconomic predictions and see if I am right! I am going to limit my self to what I call the X-Files list which are all the SPDR Sector ETFs that mostly start with an X + SOXL. I am doing this just for the sake of simplicity. If you got any other good ETFs with clear winner or loser runs please add thanks.

BENEFITED LIST:
XLU - Utilities Sector
XLV - Healthcare Sector
XLP - Consumer Staples

SUFFERED LIST:
XBI - Biotech Sector
SOXL - Semiconductor Sector (3x lev Bull, also SOXX for unleveraged)

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Iā€™m going with XLV, XLP, XLF and XLE. Expect XLE will fluctuate depending on price of gas.

Performance as of 4/11. Interesting to see how each sector has rotated in response to overall market,

BENIFITED LIST: XLU ANALYSIS AND TA

XLU Daily with tradingalpha.io scripts (45ish days of similar run up to right now)

XLU Daily with tradingalpha.io scripts (45ish days of similar run up to right now)

XLU Daily with tradingalpha.io scripts (Last 45ish days)

I picked pout two historical that looked similar just for the sake at seeing how RSI and Indicators played out.

XLU Daily Heiken Ashi

If you believe the instructionals on how to use Heiken Ashi candles that slender red candle with long wicks on either side should be a strong reversal signal

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IWM and possibly XBI. Will go for risk on assets. Personally I would just look at the heavily shorted + used as a fear hedge stocks/ETF

ARK
MTTR
IWM
etc

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