AVCT possibly very high oi

Ticker: AVCT
Description of why you are requesting DD:
AVCT has been getting mentioned more on Reddit recently. I looked into it a little bit. The current price is $1.49. The open interest on January $2.5 strikes is 9.6k. Their market cap is about 120 million currently. That would make about 10%(edit: 1% my math is bad) of their total shares exercisable if it goes up $1. I don’t currently know what their free float numbers are, I will try to do more research when I get to my computer.

Edit: my math was bad on oi, so it would probably be a bad play unless the float total is sub $10 million. I do see a lot stuff about high short interest though.

Applicable links to news articles or Reddit analysis:

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Does’t really look like it’ll pop… 10m average daily volume with a 21m share float, would need a lot more OI for it to run.

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The OI is definitely helpful but the high CTB fees, high utilization, and previous high FTDs are a good indication something is brewing. Tutes and insiders own 55% of the stock. There seems to be growing sentiment across Reddit, Twitter, and StockTwits and closed quite strongly today. It will be interesting when actual SI % numbers come out in the next few days. I assume shorts re-entered on the previous spike mid-December.

There is a potential Catalyst on the 23rd of December in the annual shareholders meeting.

Data:

image

Volume has been picking up as well.

Someone has been bidding up the ask in the AH as well.

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Bear Case:

  • Not a small float but we have seen that this does not matter when volume comes into play
    image
  • Current SI values are quite low
  • Recent equity offering
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It’s getting shilled heavily on Reddit so that’s suspect. BFRI ran and this could go either way, but if this does run make it a quick scalp.

Reddit seems to be reposting old news regarding a non binding agreement to purchase shares at $9 back in April.

The news did shoot the stock up and it’s been at a steady downtrend since then.

My question is, there’s no way the agreement stands today correct? Why would an entity pay a nearly 400% markup on the price today?

https://www.streetinsider.com/Corporate+News/American+Virtual+Cloud+Technologies+(AVCT)+Receives+%249Share+Unsolicited+Non-Binding+Acquisition+Proposal/18235511.html

Yeah they wont, the stock was trading at $7-$8 at April 2021, if(a big IF) they were going to offer now it would be around $3-$5 I would think

I like the momentum…


From what I’m seeing, this can easily break 2.79, and 3.15 right after.
But I’m not reading any positive news except that they’re trying to raise capital again.
This means retail will have to do the heavy lifting over 3 and maintain that across Jan opex.

I’d be careful not to stay too long here.
Unless there are new contracts or big investors coming in, there’s nothing to ride on except retail hype.
For now, a watch, and at best a scalp.

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Yeah I closed my majority of my position because of this. Letting a few calls ride, will need retail to hold momentum if the conference provides no positive news. Seems very unlikely that an acquisition will occur and definitely not at the $9 price point. Will be interesting what is announced tomorrow in the AM.

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fully out of the position at open. Think this play is dead until some sort of momentum catches up again

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For some reason da_stock_analyst really liked this play.
shortsqueeze subreddit was spamming it

from stocktwits:

American Virtual Cloud Technologies rises 7% amid unit’s partnership growth with Etisalat

seeking alpha

If you caught this thread 6-9 days ago when it was posted, and entered the play, you should be well in profit and exit with greens.
Any longer and you’re just gambling or holding really long as an investor.

@hypersciencenerd did good in sharing the play, do thank him.

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funny thing… I bought a little too early and it hit my stop loss shortly before it ripped so I actually lost money here.