Puts on the Yen - Not Too Late as Bank of Japan Attempts the Impossible Trinity

JPY hitting 130.72, BOJ minutes from March meeting came out today:

Highlights:

WE WILL NOT HESITATE TO ADD EASING IF NECESSARY.

MEMBERS AGREED THAT INCREASED FOREIGN DEMAND AND ACCOMMODATIVE MONETARY POLICY WILL HELP JAPAN’S ECONOMY RECOVER.

MARKETS MAY BECOME RISK-AVERSE IF RISING INFLATION PROMPTS CENTRAL BANKS TO WITHDRAW MONETARY EASING.

IF CHINA’S LOCKDOWN MEASURES DISRUPT FIRMS’ LOCAL PRODUCTION, THEY COULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE IMPACT ON JAPANESE EXPORTS.

THE BOJ MUST HELP THE ECONOMY RECOVER FROM THE EFFECTS OF THE PANDEMIC BECAUSE JAPAN IS NOT IN A POSITION WHERE INFLATION CAN SUSTAINABLY EXCEED ITS 2% TARGET.

THERE IS NO NEED TO INCREASE STIMULUS BECAUSE THE ECONOMY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RECOVER.

THE BOJ MUST CONDUCT MARKET OPERATIONS TO KEEP LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES FROM RISING.

MEMBERS AGREED THAT SHORT- AND LONG-TERM POLICY RATES WILL REMAIN AT CURRENT OR LOWER LEVELS.

INFLATION IN JAPAN MAY EXCEED 2% IN THE SHORT TERM.

Good article summarizing/explaining situation of USD/JPY:

https://www.barrons.com/articles/japanese-yen-value-51651847360