Holding the ones I got yesterday overnight - all are just around buy price, so will risk theta doing its thing for one more day and see if I can scrape some green out of them.
Many L’s were taken this week on calendar spreads. Half because of markets, half because of bad decision making.
Closed the deep ITM call leg for $1.70 (-55%). Leaving the put leg dangling in case there is a sufficient traceback; its pretty worthless right now. Should have gotten out yesterday > $4, but felt TSLA was overextended. Had forgotten “overextended” is not in TSLA’s dictionary.
Closed ITM put leg for $1.06 - a scratch. Leaving OTM call leg hanging into next week.
INTC fell violently, crashing through the put leg. Closed ITM put leg for $0.20 (-29%).
V went through the call leg; closed that for $$1.95 (-6%). Put leg remains hanging.
AXP rocketed right through the $160 call leg and way beyond, ending at $172. Very little by way of extrinsic remained; closed ITM call leg for $0.35 (-79%).
Another one where price went through put leg; closed that out for $1.65 (-13%). Call leg remains into next week.
Only green of the lot - something I took about a week ago. Sold for $0.49 (+14%).
Need to replay these plays and see how to do the wings better, which dates to choose, etc. And on top of everything, every single one of these plays except AXP was green or break even at some point, and I let it go red. Bad.
This was annoying… got called away at work and came back just now, liquidated for about -50%. Uggh. Looks like there was a window into 3pm where this would have worked ok, and after that the play ran away.
Ended up taking some more calendars, for the sake of science. Wanted to check how IV moves between 1-week and 2-week out legs. Interestingly, the premium is less than the previous setups.
Thank you @notmisa that confirms the spot tests of always bailing when wings are breached. Ofc, when I did that with ABBV, it came back at the end of the day, and would have been a 30%+ day instead of 13%. Needless to say, would have changed nothing about the decision no retrospect, but still amusing.
UBER, PM and PYPL are still open around b/e or just below. The short legs are being an issue because of low liquidity, so will close on Mon. All short legs will have expired OTM. BP is the one which is in a fair bit of a whole.
Lessons from this week:
I really need to manage these by paying more attention through the day. Every single one of them was up 10%+ at some point, some as high as 35%, like DIS.
It’s quite hard to lose money on these - unless it really runs away from you, like BP. Even then, it was still pretty b/e out of the gates.